After a lengthy break, our MLS Data Power Rankings are back!
If you're unfamiliar, we use a formula called the Overall Performance Index to rate teams based on how they're actually playing, not solely on their results.
Let's dive in!
Overall Performance Index
Our power rankings are solely created by a data-based model we've pretentiously labeled "the Overall Performance Index" (OPI). This new model includes the same factors as the prior edition (points per game, strength of schedule, goal difference and expected goal difference), while adding several other factors to give a more rounded picture. Here's how the model is calculated (click here for a more in-depth explanation):
1. Points per game – 25%
2. Goals Added – 15%
3. Form (last four matches) – 15%
4. Goal difference – 13%
5. Strength of schedule – 10%
6. Expected goal difference – 10%
7. Home and away form – 12%
Orlando City hold onto their top spot after a 3-1 win over Sporting KC. They're on a four match winning streak and getting hot at the perfect time, with Martín Ojeda flexing his MVP credentials.
LAFC move up a spot, leapfrogging San Diego FC after a dominant 2-0 victory in New England. Inter Miami also move up after a 3-1 win over the LA Galaxy, with Lionel Messi coming off the bench to bag a goal and assist.
FC Cincinnati are one of the biggest anomalies in the model. They're towards the top of the Supporters' Shield race and keep winning games, but their underlying numbers aren't great – they allow more chances than they create, and have a negative five expected goal differential. Normally numbers like that are predictive, and signify a coming down to earth. But with Evander performing at an unreal level, they may end up being an exception.
Check back next week for another update.
